what follows are my opinions on all 24 oscar categories. some are fact. some are fancy. all are to be taken seriously. come monday morning, you can all sit back and marvel at how right-on i was. unless, of course, i'm completely wrong. if that's the case, i don't want to hear it.
(warning: does contain possible spoilers regarding
million dollar baby and
the sea inside)
supporting actorwill win: clive owen;
closer should win: morgan freeman;
million dollar babynote: haven't seen
closer but i've done my research.
supporting actresswill win: virginia madsen;
sideways should win: cate blanchett;
the aviatornote: academy will reward madsen, deservedly or no, for her 'second coming.'
actorwill win: jamie foxx;
ray should win: jamie foxx;
raynote: as close to a lock as we have this year. deserves to and will win for a stark, moving performance.
actresswill win: hilary swank;
million dollar baby should win: hilary swank;
million dollar baby note: see above note, minus the lock part. annette benning always has the academy eating out of her hand. but, she's not pregnant this year so...it's gonna be '99 all over again.
directorwill win: martin scorsese;
the aviator should win: clint eastwood;
million dollar babynote: one of these year, scorsese is going to win for 1980's
raging bull. this could be it.
picturewill win:
million dollar baby should win:
million dollar babynote: the most complete and solid of this year's nominees.
cinematographywill win: robert richardson;
the aviator should win: zhao xiaoding;
house of flying daggersnote: wanted to go with bruno delbonnel for
a very long engagement but i haven't seen it. if it's anything like
amelie he deserves it, too.
art directionwill win: dante ferretti;
the aviator should win: dante ferretti;
the aviator note: this is the most open category of the year, in my opinion. don't be surprised if
phantom's anthony pratt, makes a trip to the podium.
adapted screenplaywill win: alexander payne & jim taylor;
sideways should win: alexander payne & jim taylor;
sidewaysnote: who isn't in love with that script?
original screenplaywill win: brad bird;
the incredibles should win: charlie kauffman;
eternal sunshine of the spotless mindnote: i'm all for giving it to the former
the simpsons writer who crafted a funny and surprisingly human tale of cgi superheroes...but how many MORE brilliant scripts does mr. kauffman have to write before they give him the damn statue?! just once! come on!
animated featurewill win:
the incredibles should win:
the incrediblesnote: shark tale? shrek 2? no contest.
animated shortwill win:
gopher broke should win:
ryannote: same old funny cgi (
gopher) vs. edgy, depressing pshyco-trip (
ryan.) sometimes the academy is just too predictable.
live action shortwill win:
the little terrorist should win:
two cars, one nightnote:
terrorist is the only one i know anything about. but, i love the title of
two cars. basically. i don't know about this category.
foreign language filmwill win:
les choristes; france
should win:
the sea inside; spain
note: sweet + sappy = oscar. besides, you can't have two movies about euthanasia winning big in one night.
documentary featurewill win:
born into brothels should win:
farenheit 9/11...oh wait, that's right. it wasn't nominated! ha ha. michael moore is a fat idiot.
documentary shortwill win:
autism is a world should win:
sister rose's passionnote: if
the passion of the christ is going to get shut out,
sister rose should get a shot, right?
costume designwill win: sandy powell;
the aviator should win: colleen atwood;
lemony snicket's a series of unfortunate eventsnote: as long as
troy's bob ringwood doesn't win. we can't go on thinking that putting brad pitt in a skirt makes a movie worth seeing.
make-upwill win: valli o'reilly & bill corso;
lemony snicket's a series of unfortunate events should win: valli o'reilly & bill corso;
lemony snicket's a series of unfortunate events note: i really just want to type that title as many times as i can.
original scorewill win: jan a.p. kaczmarek;
finding neverland should win: thomas newman;
lemony snicket's a series of unfortunate eventsnote: see above rant about charlie kauffman. in this case, insert the name "thomas newman" for "charlie kauffman" and the word "score" for "script." it's about time he wins something.
original songwill win: "believe" from
the polar express should win: "learn your path" from
the phantom of the operanote: i'm just kidding. andrew lloyd webber should stop writing music NOW. he has lost whatever "touch" he arguably had in the first place. did anyone SEE
bombay dreams?
film editingwill win:
million dollar baby should win:
raynote: sorry gentry. flying montage aside,
ray was masterfully put together.
sound editingwill win:
spiderman 2 should win:
the incrediblesnote: in my opinion, and animated picture has 2 elements. the animation. and a whole lot of sound to put together. this should earn almost every animated feature a nomination every year.
sound mixingwill win:
ray should win:
the aviatornote: music soothes the savage beast. an apparently the academy voter as well.
visual effectswill win:
spiderman 2 should win:
spiderman 2note: uh...does the word "no-brainer" mean anything to anyone.
enjoy the show, folks. i'm out.